Impact of Shifting Patterns of Pacific Ocean Warming on North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones
Citations Over TimeTop 1% of 2009 papers
Abstract
Two distinctly different forms of tropical Pacific Ocean warming are shown to have substantially different impacts on the frequency and tracks of North Atlantic tropical cyclones. The eastern Pacific warming (EPW) is identical to that of the conventional El Niño, whereas the central Pacific warming (CPW) has maximum temperature anomalies located near the dateline. In contrast to EPW events, CPW episodes are associated with a greater-than-average frequency and increasing landfall potential along the Gulf of Mexico coast and Central America. Differences are shown to be associated with the modulation of vertical wind shear in the main development region forced by differential teleconnection patterns emanating from the Pacific. The CPW is more predictable than the EPW, potentially increasing the predictability of cyclones on seasonal time scales.
Related Papers
- → A Reduction in Global Tropical Cyclone Frequency due to Global Warming(2009)127 cited
- → The Relationship between Sea Surface Temperatures and Maximum Intensities of Tropical Cyclones in the Eastern North Pacific Ocean(1997)132 cited
- → Extreme Atlantic hurricane seasons made twice as likely by ocean warming(2022)25 cited
- → Decadal change in relationship between western North Pacific tropical cyclone frequency and the tropical Pacific SST(2010)33 cited
- USING SST OF THE PACIFIC TO FORECAST THE FREQUENCY OF TROPICAL CYCLONE ON THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC(2003)