Global trends and scenarios for terrestrial biodiversity and ecosystem services from 1900 to 2050
Citations Over TimeTop 1% of 2024 papers
Abstract
Based on an extensive model intercomparison, we assessed trends in biodiversity and ecosystem services from historical reconstructions and future scenarios of land-use and climate change. During the 20th century, biodiversity declined globally by 2 to 11%, as estimated by a range of indicators. Provisioning ecosystem services increased several fold, and regulating services decreased moderately. Going forward, policies toward sustainability have the potential to slow biodiversity loss resulting from land-use change and the demand for provisioning services while reducing or reversing declines in regulating services. However, negative impacts on biodiversity due to climate change appear poised to increase, particularly in the higher-emissions scenarios. Our assessment identifies remaining modeling uncertainties but also robustly shows that renewed policy efforts are needed to meet the goals of the Convention on Biological Diversity.
Related Papers
- → A Revisit to the Impacts of Land Use Changes on the Human Wellbeing via Altering the Ecosystem Provisioning Services(2013)68 cited
- → Trade-offs and Synergies Between Provisioning and Regulating Ecosystem Services in a Mountain Area in Portugal Affected by Landscape Change(2016)62 cited
- → Ecosystem Services of Honey Bees; Regulating, Provisioning and Cultural Functions(2020)39 cited
- → Selecting ecological indicators to compare maintenance costs related to the compensation of damaged ecosystem services(2013)37 cited
- → Changes in Ecosystem Services in Mie Prefecture(2019)