Intent Driven Adversarial Modeling
Abstract
Abstract : Modern elements of military intelligence and decision making require predictions of adversary force actions and reactions to provide a complete and realistic viewpoint. Current methods for providing realistic adversary force simulation are largely manual processes. Adversarial simulation requires continual assessment of friendly courses of action and is currently human assessment capability limited. To develop a computational model of dynamic adversary behaviors that includes the ability to integrate with intelligence and mission data sources, computational models must address operational patterns, behaviors, or doctrines of present-day adversaries (terrorist cells, local insurgents, guerillas, and armed thugs) as well as more conventional force elements. The dynamic nature of adversary force behavior with respect to the changing capabilities, biases, beliefs, goals, intentions, and perceptions of friendly force actions must be addressed. The Emergent Adversarial Modeling System (EAMS) addresses these elements through explicit focus on adversarial intent as a driver for adversarial response. Specific capabilities address the changing nature of adversary composition. This paper will discuss the results of the ongoing EAMS research project into adversarial modeling and adversarial response simulation.
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