Introduction to the Argonne Utility Simulation (ARGUS) model
Abstract
The Argonne Utility Simulation (ARGUS) model accounts for the interplay of economic, environmental, and technological factors in energy policy issues and emission-control strategies. Each of the four components of ARGUS represents a specific aspect of the utility sector. One component deals with meeting future electricity demand through construction of new units or refurbishment or repowering of existing units. A second component is concerned with the probability of generating-unit failure and the effect that such failure could have on generating-unit assignment, fuel use, and costs. A third component computes the cost of implementing emission-control regulations and strategies. The fourth component forecasts delivered coal prices based on the volume of coal, supply region, and transportation route. Each component of ARGUS includes features that are advances over similar national-scale models, thus enabling a more efficient and accurate simulation of the utility sector. 36 refs., 19 figs., 4 tabs.