Deterrence in the Age of Thinking Machines
RAND Corporation eBooks2020
Citations Over TimeTop 10% of 2020 papers
Yuna Huh Wong, John Yurchak, Robert Button, Aaron Frank, Burgess Laird, Osonde Osoba, Randall Steeb, Benjamin Harris, Sebastian Bae
Abstract
What happens to deterrence and escalation when decisions can be made at machine speeds and when states can put fewer human lives at risk? What are potential areas for miscalculation and unintended consequences, and unwanted escalation in particular? This exploratory report provides an initial examination of how artificial intelligence and autonomous systems could affect deterrence and escalation in conventional crises and conflicts.
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